Available in USThe Round of 32 wrapped on July 3, and for the first time this summer we can see the whole knockout picture. Sixteen teams remain, all three co-hosts among them — the United States, Mexico and Canada — and the bracket is now a fixed ladder to the final in New Jersey on July 19. For a Canadian audience there is an added thrill: Les Rouges are on that ladder, and I have mapped exactly what their route to a first-ever quarter-final, and beyond, would look like.
The Eight Round-of-16 Ties
Here is the full slate, in the order the games are played across the July 4–7 window.
| Tie | Date | Venue |
|---|---|---|
| Canada vs Morocco | July 4 | Houston |
| Paraguay vs France | July 4 | Philadelphia |
| Brazil vs Norway | July 5 | East Rutherford |
| Mexico vs England | July 5 | Mexico City |
| Portugal vs Spain | July 6 | Arlington (Dallas) |
| United States vs Belgium | July 6 | Seattle |
| Argentina vs Egypt | July 7 | Atlanta |
| Switzerland vs Colombia | July 7 | Vancouver |
Fixtures per official schedule; Switzerland vs Colombia is the one tie played on home soil, at BC Place in Vancouver on July 7.
Where the Market Stands
With the field set, France head the outright market, and there is a clear tier behind them before you reach the dark horses. Note the eye-catcher: the co-hosts and outsiders now carry real each-way appeal at knockout stage.
| Selection | Odds (decimal) | Tier |
|---|---|---|
| France | 2.80 | Favourite |
| Argentina | 4.70 | Second favourite |
| Spain | 6.50–9.00 | Contender |
| England | 9.00–11.00 | Contender |
| Brazil | 14.00 | Contender |
| Portugal | 14.00 | Contender |
| Colombia | 28.00–35.00 | Dark horse |
| Morocco | 29.00–41.00 | Dark horse |
Source: FanDuel / ESPN / Oddspedia media summaries, decimal, Canadian standard, as of July 4, 2026. Ranges shown where books differ.
Canada’s Path to the Final
This is what a Canadian fan really wants mapped out. Beat Morocco today and Canada go to Foxborough on July 9 for a quarter-final against the winner of Paraguay vs France — most likely France, the tournament favourite, which would be a monumental step up. Survive that, and a semi-final on July 14 would follow, before the final in East Rutherford on July 19.
It is a daunting route, and honesty demands saying Morocco are favourites to end it this afternoon. But a month ago "Canada’s path to the final" was not a sentence worth writing at all — now it is, and that alone marks how far this team has come.
- All 16 Round-of-16 teams are confirmed; ties run July 4–7 across the United States, Mexico and Canada.
- All three co-hosts — USA, Mexico and Canada — reached the last 16.
- France (2.80) are the clear outright favourites, with Argentina (4.70) next.
- Colombia and Morocco are the most-backed dark horses in the 28.00–41.00 range.
- Canada’s path: beat Morocco, then a July 9 quarter-final in Foxborough against the Paraguay/France winner.
Dig into today’s ties in our Canada vs Morocco preview and Paraguay vs France preview, see how the field was set in the July 3 recap, and browse the longer shots on our dark horses guide and futures page.
Odds are for information only and reflect media-reported lines as of July 4, 2026. Markets move quickly in the knockouts. Please bet responsibly — 19+ and only where legal in your province. New customers can compare current World Cup pricing with partners such as OnlySpins and WinRolla, with all stakes and returns in CAD.
