Available in USFor the first time since FIFA’s rankings began in 1992, the world’s four top-ranked sides have all reached the same World Cup semi-finals — and all four are past world champions. France, Spain, England and Argentina. No underdog fairy tale survived the quarters; this is the heavyweight bracket the seedings always promised. Two ties now stand between these four and the July 19 final at MetLife Stadium. Here is the full map — every path, every price, and where a Canadian bettor finds value as the field narrows.
The Bracket at a Glance
| SF | Match | Date (ET) | Venue | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SF1 | France vs Spain | 14 Jul, 15:00 | AT&T Stadium, Dallas | TODAY |
| SF2 | England vs Argentina | 15 Jul, 15:00 | Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta | Wednesday |
The Final: Winner SF1 vs Winner SF2 — Sunday July 19, 3:00 PM ET, MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford NJ. Third-place play-off: the two losers — Saturday July 18, 5:00 PM ET, Hard Rock Stadium, Miami.
How We Got Here — the Quarter-Finals
All four quarter-finals are settled, and two of them needed extra time:
| QF | Match | Result | Advanced |
|---|---|---|---|
| QF1 | France vs Morocco | 2–0 | France |
| QF2 | Spain vs Belgium | 2–1 | Spain |
| QF3 | England vs Norway | 2–1 (aet) | England |
| QF4 | Argentina vs Switzerland | 3–1 (aet) | Argentina |
Morocco, Belgium, Norway and Switzerland are out. France’s 2–0 win over Morocco kept their perfect record intact; Spain edged Belgium to end their own tournament-long clean-sheet run but reached the last four; England and Argentina both needed the extra half-hour to see off Norway and Switzerland respectively.
The Outright Market — Four Teams, Two Tiers
With four elite sides left, the market splits into a clear favourite and a chasing pack:
| Tier | Team | Outright odds (decimal) | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite | France | 2.37 – 2.50 | Perfect 6/6, 16 goals, only side through to a semi without needing extra time |
| Chasing pack | Spain | 4.20 – 4.33 | 1 goal conceded all tournament, unbeaten in 36 |
| England | 4.10 – 4.40 | Kane and Bellingham on 6 goals each; injury doubts | |
| Argentina | 4.60 – 5.50 | Holders, Messi 8 goals, but longest price of the four on most books |
Source: FanDuel via FOX / DraftKings via SI / Oddspedia, decimal, Canadian standard. Ranges reflect book-to-book variation as of July 13–14, 2026.
SF1: France vs Spain (Today, 3:00 PM ET)
The tournament’s best attack against its best defence, and "a final before the final" per both coaches. France (16 goals, perfect record) against a Spain side that has conceded once all tournament and beaten this France core in two straight semi-finals. France are 2.35 on the match line; the draw and Spain are level at 3.10. The winner heads to the final; watch France’s teamsheet about an hour out for Tchouaméni.
Full breakdown: France vs Spain preview.
SF2: England vs Argentina (Wednesday 15 Jul, 3:00 PM ET)
The tighter tie, and a rivalry not seen at a World Cup since 2002. England (Kane and Bellingham, 6 goals each) against the holders, chasing a first final since 1966; Argentina (Messi, 8 goals, all-time WC record) bidding to become only the third nation ever to defend the trophy. Near a coin-toss: England 2.55–2.65, draw 2.90–3.00, Argentina 3.00–3.05. England’s XI is still firming with Quansah suspended and Rice/James doubts.
Full breakdown: England vs Argentina preview.
The Two Halves of the Draw
The Canadian Angle
Canada’s own tournament ended in the Round of 16, but the futures market is at its most compelling point right now. Prices compress hard once the final is set, so the last real window for outright value is before tonight’s SF1 result lands. France at 2.37–2.50 is short but reflects a genuinely dominant run; the value hunt is in the chasing pack, where Spain, England and Argentina all sit between roughly 4.10 and 5.50 depending on the book — and where the book-to-book gaps are wide enough to shop around. For Canadian viewers, TSN holds the exclusive domestic World Cup rights, so both semis are available at home.
- First-ever all-top-four semi-finals: France, Spain, England, Argentina — all past world champions.
- SF1 France vs Spain today (Dallas); SF2 England vs Argentina Wednesday (Atlanta).
- France (2.37–2.50) are the clear outright favourite; Spain, England and Argentina form the chasing pack (~4.10–5.50).
- Books split on the 2nd favourite: FanDuel likes England, DraftKings likes Spain.
- Final: July 19 at MetLife Stadium; third-place play-off July 18 in Miami.
For today’s game see the France vs Spain preview and the July 14 predictions; Wednesday’s tie is in the England vs Argentina preview, and the scoring race is in Mbappé vs Messi: the Golden Boot race. Track the futures on the World Cup 2026 odds hub and the predictions page.
Odds reflect media-reported decimal lines as of July 13–14, 2026 and will move. 19+, please bet responsibly and only where legal in your province. New customers can compare current World Cup pricing with partners such as TikiTaka and Zotabet, with stakes and returns in CAD.
